Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 959.930241 1091.247110 1238.950662 1418.366893 1631.714082 1878.916509 2189.377698
2025-04-27 766.457656 936.457168 1146.236988 1428.048237 1802.790703 2292.878176 2997.532913
2025-05-04 675.317925 861.882939 1105.603775 1454.655437 1954.297211 2664.278839 3789.301722
2025-05-11 606.631573 801.829075 1068.916218 1472.367536 2087.394663 3027.585360 4655.716233
2025-05-18 565.989026 771.579372 1064.734772 1529.539394 2280.814338 3512.365557 5840.928361
2025-05-25 523.922091 732.778248 1041.057380 1550.442750 2416.807733 3928.347314 7027.565156
2025-06-01 482.964275 690.228865 1005.255672 1544.633099 2503.924902 4273.787067 8184.967106
2025-06-08 447.584186 652.023325 970.990532 1534.968677 2580.072710 4612.058769 9439.327434
2025-06-15 425.352678 631.766030 962.517751 1567.089651 2736.759200 5142.283778 11331.427107
2025-06-22 390.941482 588.727279 911.765862 1516.621001 2724.476108 5315.100064 12401.959011
2025-06-29 362.122531 552.367655 868.679322 1474.517877 2721.388567 5506.646718 13603.123176
2025-07-06 335.421527 517.422300 824.811390 1425.523918 2695.754073 5640.127753 14696.989584
2025-07-13 324.849789 509.756468 829.634740 1474.477943 2896.978981 6394.407452 18196.708574
2025-07-20 309.843849 493.348906 817.398641 1488.487517 3025.075575 7008.398707 21659.583241
2025-07-27 298.089539 481.527253 812.150858 1515.642353 3188.751070 7771.412831 26263.570223
2025-08-03 286.316890 468.674085 803.611424 1534.494331 3336.247481 8540.269937 31575.938337
2025-08-10 280.209083 465.576613 813.405714 1594.685340 3602.696779 9779.811700 40433.814485
2025-08-17 270.351379 454.707433 806.765411 1616.727156 3772.761306 10774.438995 49264.374058
2025-08-24 258.423130 439.048762 789.048197 1610.601227 3863.476411 11530.057532 57721.039969
2025-08-31 247.053813 423.677257 770.600001 1600.415836 3941.025125 12273.924097 67291.822526
2025-09-07 240.537489 417.247965 770.176432 1634.273299 4159.195585 13681.441210 84681.177849
2025-09-14 226.918759 395.994364 736.651728 1581.080424 4095.649411 13881.079898 92024.154570
2025-09-21 215.017769 377.493906 707.758670 1536.722945 4053.243446 14167.952101 101018.515919